Winter is on its last legs now. You can see the signs everywhere. Leafless trees are suddenly bursting into a riot of colours, the days are become inordinately longer, the birds are chirping their hearts out, and you know that spring has finally broken through. Watching the gradual transition is quite comforting really. It makes you appreciate the seasons more, makes you look forward to the experiences of the season ahead, and assures you that you can trust in the inevitable cycle of the natural world.
Which makes it pretty amazing that we have an international tennis schedule, which does the same thing! Aside from the regular complaints of an overcrowded itinery, the ATP calendar is a great advertisment for the virtues of familiarity and order. The early hardcourt season Down Under and in the States, transition to the extended hustle-and-bustle of the European red clay, followed by a brief skirmish with the green grass of Europe, and then the seemingly never-ending hardcourt season culminating at the end of the year in London. Each provides a flavour of its own, with individual tournaments serving as season-markers with their own distinct personalities. The perfect context against which we follow the course of our favourite sport – how the rivalries pan out, how stars emerge, how heroes fade, how the sport evolves. It goes to show that all a good sport needs is context. How I wish international cricket would learn from this. But that’s a tale for another day.
As far as tennis goes, the clay court season is upon us already (Monte Carlo is well underway). The grunts are in the air at full strength, the slides are coming out on the dirt-red surface, the baseline grinders are putting in their extra hours (but is there actually a baseline grinder left in the game?), and all under the pleasant European spring sun. And this year, the tussle at the top promises to be exciting indeed.
For the first time in half a decade, the overriding theme of men’s tennis discussion will go beyond the perennial plot-within-the-Fedal-plot, “Can Federer beat Nadal on clay?” And that is primarily because we have a new contender for the throne in Novak Djokovic. He has just come off a stupendous run in the hardcourts this year, beating both Nadal (2-0) and Federer (3-0) time and again, and signalling his intentions to finally bring the curtains down on one of the most enduring hegemonies of sport. The Djoker has always been a consistent performer on clay without being spectacular. This might be the season he takes the next giant step forward.
The man he will try to usurp, Nadal, is only one of the all-time great clay court specialists. Well, all-time greats, period. And he is in fine form himself. But will the pressure of defending all those points from a pitch-perfect summer last year take its toll on him? And we would be ignoring Federer only at our own risk here. Like Nadal, he has had a solid year so far, but has been overshadowed by the Djokovic show. Will the mantle of a No. 3 ranking prove to be an extra incentive for him, or will the lack of pressure, relatively speaking, enable him to play more freely?
The trends of the top three players going into the clay court season are pretty interesting. Djokovic is clearly on the way up, while Nadal is in cruise-control and getting into his favourite part of the year. It’s harder to place Federer who is still playing well enough not to lose to anyone but these two, but within the troika, he definitely comes third. And this subtly changes the context of the Fedal rivalry too. Can it actually accomodate a third member on a sustained basis, especially given that the rivalry might be in its twilight stage anyway? Lots of intriguing questions to be answered over the next few months.
And in the hype of the Djokovic show, let’s not forget the supporting cast who could set up stirring storylines themselves. Will Andy Murray finally get himself off the ground? We know from Monte Carlo that he has won at least one match post the Australian Open. Will the gentle giant from Tandil, Del Potro, continue his steady comeback from injury? Will the Ferrers and Almagros of the world show us again what bloody-mindedness can achieve on a clay court? Will the Next Gen players announce themselves? And will they be among Raonic, Harrison and Dolgopolov? And is Robin Soderling finally past his extended purple patch, the patch which began with that memorable toppling of King Rafa at Roland Garros a couple of seasons ago?
It’s a brand new tennis season, and the questions before us are new and different, and yet vaguely familiar at the same time. But that’s what a fresh season brings, I guess. New perspectives, new expectations, new experiences, all against a familiar background.
